In this series, I will pick an underdog every week that I think will not only cover the spread, but also have a good chance at winning outright.
I finally hit a big underdog who won outright!
Underdog of the Week:
NO @ SEA
Line:
NO +5
NO +180 ML
Thanksgiving is one of the few public holidays in the US that begin in the middle of the week, so it drastically affects a lot of people's schedules. In the same way, my guess is it affects how NFL teams prepare, and a team with a few extra days might have a nice edge. The Saints and the Falcons played each other in last week's Thursday game, and both are underdogs this week.
Since I've already said that I'm done with the Falcons, I'm left with the Saints. There's plenty of motivation here as this is practically a playoff game for the Saints, with Carolina breathing down their necks and a chance at home field throughout if they can get the win here. There might also be a revenge factor at play as the Saints' last visit to Seattle was a playoff loss as a heavy favorite three seasons ago. The Saints also get Sproles back, who is essential as the short passing game with him is pretty much their equivalent of a running game.
Interesting Stat of the Week: Since Thursday night games became a staple of the schedule, Thanksgiving week underdogs who played the Thursday night game the previous week have a 5-3 straight up record.
Record:
ATS 8-4
ML 5-7 +215
1 comment :
You're killing them with these picks. Love to hear to reasoning, too.
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