Thursday, September 19, 2013

Underdog of the Week: NFL 2013-2014 Season Week 3 (sport, gambling, NFLUnderdog13)

In this series, I will pick an underdog every week that I think will not only cover the spread, but also have a good chance at winning outright.

Almost managed to start the season 2-0 in my outright underdog picks, but Tampa Bay managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory in the final minute for the second week in a row. Regardless of the actual win-loss record, I'm pretty satisfied with the performance of my two picks so far.

Even though the NFL season only consists of 16 regular season games, it is a long grind. So it's not that surprising to me to sometimes see unlikely teams string together wins to start the season. Examples include last year's 4-0 Cardinals, the 3-0 Bills from the year before, and the 3-0 Chiefs three seasons ago.

Underdog of the Week:
KC +3
KC +150 ML

Looking at some of the teams that are 2-0 so far this season, only the Chiefs are currently an underdog this week, while both HOU and MIA are only 1 point favorites. I think this is a very good situation for the Chiefs. With the shortened preparation time, Andy Reid's knowledge of some of the Eagles' players may come into play, even if they're playing in Chip Kelly's offense. Furthermore, this is a pretty good matchup for the Chiefs. Jamaal Charles' running and Alex Smith in a West Coast offense could slow the game down, while on the defensive side Kansas City boasts 4 pro bowlers from last year and held MJD to 15 rushes for 45 yards in their week 1 game.

Interesting Stat of the Week:
Over the past 3 years, at least one 2-0 underdog has won outright in week 3 each year.

ATS 2-0
ML 1-1 +60

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