Thursday, December 12, 2013

Underdog of the Week: NFL 2013-2014 Season Week 15 (sport, gambling, NFLUnderdog13)

In this series, I will pick an underdog every week that I think will not only cover the spread, but also have a good chance at winning outright.

One thing that got lost among last week's crazy finishes was that if Antonio Brown had kept his toe in bounds, all favorites would have won straight up last week.

Underdog of the Week:
STL +5.5
STL +210 ML

To me, this is the perfect let down spot for the Saints. They could easily be looking ahead to next week's game at Carolina, which rates to be their biggest game of the regular season. The public should be all over them as they just had a dominating win against those same division leading Panthers, but they do head into this week's game on short rest. Add to that New Orleans' big home-road disparity, and this is a recipe for an upset. St Louis has also been fairly frisky all year, and their last two losses were both on the road against teams in the playoff hunt with stellar defenses.

Interesting Stat of the Week: Over the past 3 years, week 15 favorites have only won without covering twice. As they either covered or lost outright, maybe we shouldn't worry about back door covers this week.

ATS 8-6
ML 5-9 +15

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