Saturday, September 17, 2011

NFL Picks Week 2 2011 (sport, gambling)

There was a lot of scoring in the NFL last week. A lot of quarterbacks had big games, and I think the lines have moved in response to the explosion of offense in the first week. So for this week's picks, I'm taking two unders.

Under 53.5

This line will probably keep going up as game time approaches. How could it not? Two of the most prolific offenses in recent memory going up against each other, and with Monday night's high scoring Pats-Dolphins game fresh in everyone's minds. But are these two teams particularly better now than they were last year? In last year's matchup, they put up 43 total on a 48.5 line. I just think this is one of those lines where the public is one way and the sharps will be going the other.

Under 49.5

The Eagles can certainly be explosive with Vick under center, but a line near or above 50 should almost always be reserved for two passing powerhouses, in my opinion. And that is not what these two teams are. Even if Atlanta is running on all cylinders offensively, they would, in fact, be running. A lot. I see a lot of drives being kept alive, but I don't know that they'll be heading into the endzones particularly frequently.

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