Saturday, September 24, 2011

NFL Picks Week 3 2011 (sport, gambling)

While the NFL has always strived for parity, there is a pretty big gap this season between the good teams and the bad teams. This week is quite interesting in that many of the games feature even matchups of good teams or bad teams.


Arizona is one of those teams that are really bad. Yet people don't completely see that because they have well-known names from a fantasy football standpoint like Kolb and Fitzgerald. Their defense, especially their secondary, has been dreadful. Not that there's anything really nice to say about the Seattle offense, but you can disregard last week's performance on the road against an angry Steelers team. With the 12th man back on their side for their home opener, I think Seattle will take this one as Arizona won't be able to score enough to overcome their dreadful defense.

Over 45.5

One of the oldest and most storied rivalries in football, these two teams have played under the total in their last 7 games. However, I think this is the game to break that streak. We all know about the Packers' offense, with Rodgers at the helm. But their defense has shown this year that they can be thrown on, and the Bears do love to throw the ball. Chicago has been an abysmal 28.6% in third down conversions so far through two games, but the Packers' defense has also allowed a 55% conversion rate on third downs to opponents. Something's got to give, and I think we're going to see an entertaining game with lots of offense.


Memphis MOJO said...

Love your SEA getting 3- pts at home. Nice.

The Pretender said...

Thanks. I picked them getting the points in their playoff upset last season too.
I've come to realize the real money is in trying to find a reason to bet an underdog.

Memphis MOJO said...

I also bet Oakland getting 3- at home. Both won outright.