Wednesday, June 4, 2008

VBOTD (Value bet of the day)

Under 10.5 -120

Under 9.5 -115

Both league ERA leaders are in games with relatively high total lines, yet the opposing pitchers aren't horrible either. A lot of runs have been scored in the Cleveland-Texas series so far, so I'm sure the lack of bullpen depth was a big factor in the line. However, both Lee and Ponson have shown the ability to go deep this season, and if just one of them pitch to their best, I can't see as many as 11 runs. As for the Cinci-Philly game, Volquez meets the Phillies for the first time since his first start of the season, but in that time he still hasn't given up more than 2 earned runs in an outing. Both games so far in this series have played under, and Myers pitches solidly at home.

Running total: +35
Record: 7-6

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