In this series, I will pick an underdog every week that I think will not only cover the spread, but also have a good chance at winning outright.
That's it, I'm done with Atlanta.
Underdog of the Week:
CLE @ CIN
CLE +210 ML
I really have no numbers or stats for this week. Last year, week 11 saw only one underdog win outright. The only team that might have had a trend, the Rams, is on a bye.
The Bengals have won all their home games so far this season. On the road, every game they've played has had a final differential of a FG or less, except for their loss to the Browns. I think that means something. People will point at the Browns' QB situation, but the focus should really be on their defense which was the only team so far this season to hold Cincy to single digits. If it does end up being a 9-6 type of game, I think the Browns can pull it out coming off a bye.
Interesting Stat of the Week: Over the past 6 seasons, a winless road team visiting an undefeated home team in week 11 has only happened twice. The home team won both times, but was only 1-1 ATS.
ML 4-6 -70