Wednesday, August 1, 2007

VBOTD (Value bet of the day)

ATL -1.5 +135

Wandy Rodriguez has one of the most amazing splits for any pitcher this year, going 1-7 with a 7.42 ERA on the road while posting a 6-2 record at home with an ERA of 1.76. Buddy Carlyle on the other hand has pitched solid enough for his team to win a majority of his starts. The moneyline here is about -145, which is still good value considering yesterday's 12-4 Atlanta victory came with a -170 moneyline. However, the Atlanta bats have produced big time the last two games and if Wandy ends up being his usual on-the-road self, this could easily be a blowout and the runline looks more attractive.

Running total: +635
Record: 11-5

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